Technical Analysis: LFEX Norway Exporters Salmon Index, 2nd June 2023

David Nye - The London Fish Exchange

Published: 5th June 2023

This Article was Written by: David Nye - The London Fish Exchange


The Oslo FoB Index rallied a modest 0.54% this last week. The Oslo FoB Index price has been holding near the price moving average represented on the chart as a brown line.

I drew in a green up sloping trendline that the Oslo FoB Index has been recently using as support. The Oslo FoB Index has also been making higher highs and higher lows during the last month. The resistance zone at 121.14 NOK and the red down sloping trendline are offering resistance for the Oslo FoB Index. The green up sloping trendline is offering support for the Oslo FoB Index.

The Composite Index is close to testing its fast-moving average and it may be bounding off its old high from mid-May 2023. I left some of the trendlines that mark divergence with price on the Composite Index because these old trendlines can act as support and resistance in the future. There is a light blue and light purple trendline that may offer the Composite Index additional support at its current displacement. The moving averages on the Composite Index also have a positive displacement.

The RSI may have just tested the positive crossover of its moving averages and appears to be moving higher. We have seen very strong price moves when these indicators test their positive or negative moving average crossovers, and the indicator responds to the test.

  About This Analysis

About David Nye

David is a Senior Vice President in investment advisory with over 30 years of experience.

Based in Minnesota, USA he has a long history in technical analysis across a range of markets. David brings his experience to provide an independent insight into potential salmon pricing based on LFEX and DataSalmon data.

What is Technical Analysis?

Technical Analysis is used to try and identify price trends in the future. Analysts believe that by using factual past information (trading activity and price changes) it is possible to identify future price movement trends and is quite prevalent in commodity and forex markets but can be applied to any product.

Technical Analysis has been developing for over a century, and there are now hundreds of patterns and signals that have been created. They are often used in conjunction with other forms of research and analysis to help formulate, or support pricing trend opinions.

Purpose of the Analysis?

To provide an independent data-driven view of market pricing trends in the short and medium-term. As a potential tool, for users to access future pricing trends based on LFEX/DataSalmon derived market data.

How Does it Work?

On a regular basis (weekly), David will provide his independent analysis of LFEX and DataSalmon pricing data. The output will be to provide pricing trends based on the most up to date pricing received.

The analysis will show the expected trends and potential (price) levels, as well as other markers – for example, higher or lower price triggers that would affect the analysis of the trend – and what this might mean. It is data-driven, and will not, and does not, account for any other fundamental analysis, or weather or biological events for example. This is the same for any commodity product technical analysis.


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