Technical Analysis: LFEX Norway Exporters Salmon Index, 20th January 2023

David Nye - The London Fish Exchange

Published: 23rd January 2023

This Article was Written by: David Nye - The London Fish Exchange


The Oslo FoB Index has had a sharp price reversal in the last week. The Index is currently on a horizontal support line and a black upward sloping trend line.

There is a blue upward sloping trend line drawn from the last two recent lows defining the bottom of the current upward price channel. The Composite Index has made a large move down in its displacement. Its current displacement is the fifth lowest displacement in the available history of the Index. The Composite Index only has one area of history near this displacement. The Index price didn’t make its final price low at this historical displacement, but Oslo FoB Index price did turn upward shortly afterward. Follow the red horizontal line back in time to see how the Composite Index price reacted at this displacement.

The RSI also had a sharp reversal from its earlier displacement. The RSI doesn’t have a lot of history at its current displacement, but it did respect this displacement in mid-December of 2022. It appears that the RSI could go down a little more where it has more history of making a bottom. There is divergence between the Composite Index and the RSI, meaning the move down is losing momentum. In the short term, the Oslo FoB Index is on top of the black upward sloping trendline that should give the Index some support. ]The breaking below the blue upward sloping trendline would signal that the current uptrend is in jeopardy.

  About This Analysis

About David Nye

David is a Senior Vice President in investment advisory with over 30 years of experience.

Based in Minnesota, USA he has a long history in technical analysis across a range of markets. David brings his experience to provide an independent insight into potential salmon pricing based on LFEX and DataSalmon data.

What is Technical Analysis?

Technical Analysis is used to try and identify price trends in the future. Analysts believe that by using factual past information (trading activity and price changes) it is possible to identify future price movement trends and is quite prevalent in commodity and forex markets but can be applied to any product.

Technical Analysis has been developing for over a century, and there are now hundreds of patterns and signals that have been created. They are often used in conjunction with other forms of research and analysis to help formulate, or support pricing trend opinions.

Purpose of the Analysis?

To provide an independent data-driven view of market pricing trends in the short and medium-term. As a potential tool, for users to access future pricing trends based on LFEX/DataSalmon derived market data.

How Does it Work?

On a regular basis (weekly), David will provide his independent analysis of LFEX and DataSalmon pricing data. The output will be to provide pricing trends based on the most up to date pricing received.

The analysis will show the expected trends and potential (price) levels, as well as other markers – for example, higher or lower price triggers that would affect the analysis of the trend – and what this might mean. It is data-driven, and will not, and does not, account for any other fundamental analysis, or weather or biological events for example. This is the same for any commodity product technical analysis.


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