Technical Analysis: LFEX Norway Exporters Salmon Index, 17th March 2023

David Nye - The London Fish Exchange

Published: 20th March 2023

This Article was Written by: David Nye - The London Fish Exchange


The Oslo FoB Index finished the week down 3.8% from last Friday’s price but experienced some price volatility along the way. I drew in a purple and brown upward sloping trend line on the Index price chart try to give an earlier indication of where prices are heading.

The brown and red upsloping trend lines should offer support and the purple and green upsloping trend lines should offer resistance. There is also green and red horizontal price support and resistance lines drawn on the price chart. The Composite Index and the RSI both diverged with the Index price earlier in the week giving a sell signal, represented by the green trend lines drawn on the indicators. The most recent data shows the Composite Index and the RSI are diverging with each other signalling that the move down might be losing momentum in the short term, represented by the light brown trend lines drawn on the indicators under the most recent price history.

Both indicators have used their current displacements as support and resistance in the past. This increases the probability that this could be a support area for both the indicators. In the short run, if the Oslo FoB Index breaks down below the brown upward sloping trend line the correction will continue. If the Oslo FoB Index can keep moving higher, the green upward sloping trend line should offer resistance. Notice that these two trend lines cross in early April 2023.

  About This Analysis

About David Nye

David is a Senior Vice President in investment advisory with over 30 years of experience.

Based in Minnesota, USA he has a long history in technical analysis across a range of markets. David brings his experience to provide an independent insight into potential salmon pricing based on LFEX and DataSalmon data.

What is Technical Analysis?

Technical Analysis is used to try and identify price trends in the future. Analysts believe that by using factual past information (trading activity and price changes) it is possible to identify future price movement trends and is quite prevalent in commodity and forex markets but can be applied to any product.

Technical Analysis has been developing for over a century, and there are now hundreds of patterns and signals that have been created. They are often used in conjunction with other forms of research and analysis to help formulate, or support pricing trend opinions.

Purpose of the Analysis?

To provide an independent data-driven view of market pricing trends in the short and medium-term. As a potential tool, for users to access future pricing trends based on LFEX/DataSalmon derived market data.

How Does it Work?

On a regular basis (weekly), David will provide his independent analysis of LFEX and DataSalmon pricing data. The output will be to provide pricing trends based on the most up to date pricing received.

The analysis will show the expected trends and potential (price) levels, as well as other markers – for example, higher or lower price triggers that would affect the analysis of the trend – and what this might mean. It is data-driven, and will not, and does not, account for any other fundamental analysis, or weather or biological events for example. This is the same for any commodity product technical analysis.


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