Technical Analysis: LFEX Norway Exporters Salmon Index, 10th February 2023

David Nye - The London Fish Exchange

Published: 13th February 2023

This Article was Written by: David Nye - The London Fish Exchange


The Olso FoB Index rallied 9.59% in the last week. The Index price has broken above the 97.235 NOK resistance zone and appears to be heading to the 102.53 NOK resistance zone.

There is also a light blue trend line drawn from past bottoms and tops offering additional resistance over the current price. The May to July 2022 time period showed that prices did respect the 102.xx NOK to 107.xx NOK price areas. The Composite Index respected the grey upsloping trendline from last weeks report. The Composite Index does have some history at this displacement but not a significant amount. It’s very possible the Composite Index can keep going higher along with prices. The moving averages on the Composite Index and the RSI are converging and are about to turn positive. A bullish signal.

We’ve seen several times in this report what happens to prices when the oscillator comes down and responds to a test of a positive or negative crossover of their respective moving averages. When the test holds, we get a strong advance or decline in the security. I’m not seeing any major divergence signals in the oscillators meaning the current move up still has enough momentum to continue higher.

  About This Analysis

About David Nye

David is a Senior Vice President in investment advisory with over 30 years of experience.

Based in Minnesota, USA he has a long history in technical analysis across a range of markets. David brings his experience to provide an independent insight into potential salmon pricing based on LFEX and DataSalmon data.

What is Technical Analysis?

Technical Analysis is used to try and identify price trends in the future. Analysts believe that by using factual past information (trading activity and price changes) it is possible to identify future price movement trends and is quite prevalent in commodity and forex markets but can be applied to any product.

Technical Analysis has been developing for over a century, and there are now hundreds of patterns and signals that have been created. They are often used in conjunction with other forms of research and analysis to help formulate, or support pricing trend opinions.

Purpose of the Analysis?

To provide an independent data-driven view of market pricing trends in the short and medium-term. As a potential tool, for users to access future pricing trends based on LFEX/DataSalmon derived market data.

How Does it Work?

On a regular basis (weekly), David will provide his independent analysis of LFEX and DataSalmon pricing data. The output will be to provide pricing trends based on the most up to date pricing received.

The analysis will show the expected trends and potential (price) levels, as well as other markers – for example, higher or lower price triggers that would affect the analysis of the trend – and what this might mean. It is data-driven, and will not, and does not, account for any other fundamental analysis, or weather or biological events for example. This is the same for any commodity product technical analysis.


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